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  • Digg it UP - LLY Chart – Collar Example #1

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    d above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum
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    NOTES ON ELI LILLY (LLY)
    Collar

    1. In a one month span from Nov. 18, 2002 to Dec. 18, 2002 LLY
    traded from just below $60.00 to just below $70.00 and back down
    to $62.00.

    2. In another one month span from late May 2003 to mid-June
    2003, LLY traded from $56.00 up to $72.00.

    3. Several gap openings are also apparent with one in
    mid-January 2003, one in late August and one in very late
    September. These all point to periods of high or increasing
    volatility.

    4. We also want to notice the individual daily trading ranges.
    The length of the lines shows the number of large range days.
    The longer lines indicate larger intraday ranges. In the chart
    above, LLY shows a very high number of large intraday movement
    days, again pointing to high volatility.

    5. As much as LLY had strong run-ups, it had some large down
    periods also. In a 2 month period from mid-Jan. to mid-March
    2003, LLY traded down from $68.50 to $58.00. Then in another two
    month period, mid-June to mid August 2003, LLY traded down from
    $71.00 to $61.00.

    Conclusion: LLY appears to be a very volatile stock during the
    observed period charted above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum p
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    .

    3. Several gap openings are also apparent with one in
    mid-January 2003, one in late August and one in very late
    September. These all point to periods of high or increasing
    volatility.

    4. We also want to notice the individual daily trading ranges.
    The length of the lines shows the number of large range days.
    The longer lines indicate larger intraday ranges. In the chart
    above, LLY shows a very high number of large intraday movement
    days, again pointing to high volatility.

    5. As much as LLY had strong run-ups, it had some large down
    periods also. In a 2 month period from mid-Jan. to mid-March
    2003, LLY traded down from $68.50 to $58.00. Then in another two
    month period, mid-June to mid August 2003, LLY traded down from
    $71.00 to $61.00.

    Conclusion: LLY appears to be a very volatile stock during the
    observed period charted above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum
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    shows the number of large range days.
    The longer lines indicate larger intraday ranges. In the chart
    above, LLY shows a very high number of large intraday movement
    days, again pointing to high volatility.

    5. As much as LLY had strong run-ups, it had some large down
    periods also. In a 2 month period from mid-Jan. to mid-March
    2003, LLY traded down from $68.50 to $58.00. Then in another two
    month period, mid-June to mid August 2003, LLY traded down from
    $71.00 to $61.00.

    Conclusion: LLY appears to be a very volatile stock during the
    observed period charted above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum
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    In a 2 month period from mid-Jan. to mid-March
    2003, LLY traded down from $68.50 to $58.00. Then in another two
    month period, mid-June to mid August 2003, LLY traded down from
    $71.00 to $61.00.

    Conclusion: LLY appears to be a very volatile stock during the
    observed period charted above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum
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    d above. The stock began this period at
    around $60.00 and finished the period at $67.00, which is not
    necessarily a large move. But when we look at the large
    intra-month ranges, it’s clear that LLY has been very volatile
    during this period.

    With this type of movement, a maximum protection strategy is
    necessary but, with such high volatility, premiums will likely
    be expensive. The outright buying of a put may cut too deeply
    into potential profits making the risk reward scenario
    unjustified.

    The collar strategy, however, will provide the necessary
    downside protection, while still allowing room for some capital
    appreciation. The sale of the call will offset the cost of the
    put purchase to make the trade’s risk/reward scenario more
    viable. The collar can be leaned to provide either more
    protection or more capital appreciation, depending on the
    investors short term outlook.

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